Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000144 0.000160 0.000177 0.000197 0.000219 0.000243 0.000270
2025-10-05 0.000119 0.000141 0.000166 0.000196 0.000231 0.000272 0.000322
2025-10-12 0.000104 0.000130 0.000160 0.000199 0.000248 0.000307 0.000384
2025-10-19 0.000091 0.000119 0.000153 0.000200 0.000260 0.000337 0.000442
2025-10-26 0.000081 0.000110 0.000147 0.000200 0.000271 0.000366 0.000501
2025-11-02 0.000072 0.000101 0.000141 0.000198 0.000279 0.000391 0.000557
2025-11-09 0.000065 0.000095 0.000136 0.000198 0.000289 0.000419 0.000619
2025-11-16 0.000059 0.000088 0.000131 0.000196 0.000296 0.000442 0.000675
2025-11-23 0.000054 0.000083 0.000126 0.000195 0.000303 0.000467 0.000737
2025-11-30 0.000050 0.000079 0.000123 0.000196 0.000313 0.000495 0.000805
2025-12-07 0.000046 0.000074 0.000119 0.000194 0.000318 0.000517 0.000863
2025-12-14 0.000043 0.000072 0.000118 0.000197 0.000331 0.000553 0.000949
2025-12-21 0.000040 0.000069 0.000115 0.000198 0.000342 0.000585 0.001033
2025-12-28 0.000037 0.000065 0.000112 0.000198 0.000350 0.000613 0.001111
2026-01-04 0.000036 0.000064 0.000112 0.000201 0.000365 0.000656 0.001220
2026-01-11 0.000033 0.000061 0.000110 0.000202 0.000375 0.000690 0.001314
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000059 0.000107 0.000202 0.000383 0.000721 0.001407
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000056 0.000104 0.000200 0.000389 0.000747 0.001492
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000054 0.000102 0.000200 0.000397 0.000780 0.001593
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000051 0.000099 0.000198 0.000401 0.000804 0.001679
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000049 0.000097 0.000198 0.000408 0.000834 0.001779
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000047 0.000095 0.000198 0.000417 0.000869 0.001893
2026-03-01 0.000022 0.000045 0.000093 0.000196 0.000420 0.000892 0.001985